Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.001350 0.001509 0.001669 0.001840 0.002018 0.002197 0.002389
2025-10-12 0.001109 0.001341 0.001580 0.001842 0.002120 0.002404 0.002716
2025-10-19 0.000899 0.001182 0.001483 0.001819 0.002183 0.002561 0.002981
2025-10-26 0.000726 0.001047 0.001397 0.001799 0.002239 0.002703 0.003224
2025-11-02 0.000581 0.000929 0.001321 0.001779 0.002290 0.002834 0.003450
2025-11-09 0.000466 0.000833 0.001260 0.001770 0.002346 0.002966 0.003674
2025-11-16 0.000373 0.000754 0.001212 0.001769 0.002408 0.003101 0.003897
2025-11-23 0.000295 0.000684 0.001169 0.001771 0.002469 0.003231 0.004111
2025-11-30 0.000256 0.000662 0.001182 0.001834 0.002596 0.003433 0.004404
2025-12-07 0.000195 0.000600 0.001139 0.001829 0.002643 0.003543 0.004591
2025-12-14 0.000131 0.000523 0.001073 0.001791 0.002649 0.003605 0.004725
2025-12-21 0.000099 0.000490 0.001060 0.001817 0.002728 0.003747 0.004944
2025-12-28 0.000050 0.000423 0.001014 0.001818 0.002799 0.003905 0.005210
2026-01-04 0.000018 0.000367 0.000977 0.001830 0.002883 0.004079 0.005498
2026-01-11 NaN 0.000300 0.000920 0.001814 0.002933 0.004215 0.005743
2026-01-18 NaN 0.000241 0.000865 0.001797 0.002981 0.004346 0.005982
2026-01-25 NaN 0.000188 0.000812 0.001780 0.003026 0.004474 0.006216
2026-02-01 NaN 0.000145 0.000769 0.001772 0.003080 0.004610 0.006459
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000111 0.000735 0.001773 0.003143 0.004756 0.006711
2026-02-15 NaN 0.000082 0.000703 0.001775 0.003207 0.004901 0.006960
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000074 0.000714 0.001839 0.003347 0.005134 0.007311
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000050 0.000680 0.001834 0.003398 0.005262 0.007538
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000024 0.000626 0.001796 0.003406 0.005337 0.007704